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Alzheimer's & Dementia

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Alzheimer's & Dementia's content profile, based on 143 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.26% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Alzheimer's disease neuroimaging signature aids identification of cognitive impairment in older adults with early-onset epilepsy

Williams, M.; Arrotta, K.; Bangen, K. J.; Reyes, A.; Stasenko, A.; Zawar, I.; Punia, V.; Wang, I.; Shin, W.; Su, T.-Y.; Shih, J. J.; Farid, N.; Kapur, J.; Struck, A. F.; Bekris, L. M.; Ferguson, L.; Almane, D. N.; Jones, J. E.; Hermann, B. P.; Busch, R. M.; McDonald, C. R.; for the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative*,

2026-06-10 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354952 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Older adults with epilepsy are at increased risk for Alzheimer's disease (AD), yet the mechanisms underlying this association remain poorly understood. We applied a validated AD neuroimaging signature to older adults with epilepsy to examine 1) whether older adults with epilepsy mirror AD-related changes, 2) associations with clinical, cognitive, and plasma biomarker outcomes, and 3) utility for identifying subgroups at heightened risk for cognitive decline. Our multicenter, prospectively enrolled cohort allowed for direct examination of differences in AD signatures between those with early-onset and late-onset unexplained epilepsy. Methods: Participants included 449 older adults: 87 with focal epilepsy from the multicenter Brain Aging and Cognition in Epilepsy (BrACE) cohort (age=66.10 [SD=6.86], including early-onset (<55 years at seizure onset) and late-onset ([&ge;]55 years at seizure onset) epilepsy); 362 from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), including cognitively unimpaired (CU) healthy controls and individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or AD dementia. An AD signature was derived from regional cortical thickness and hippocampal volume weighted by their sensitivity to AD-related neurodegeneration in prior work. Associations between the AD signature, epilepsy characteristics, plasma biomarkers ({beta}-amyloid 42/40, phosphorylated tau [pTau217, pTau181], neurofilament light chain [NfL]), and cognition were evaluated in BrACE. Results: Participants with epilepsy demonstrated more AD-like signatures compared to ADNI CU controls ({beta}= -0.43, p<0.001), reflecting reduced thickness/volume in AD-vulnerable regions. This effect was stronger among early-onset ({beta}= -0.57) versus late-onset ({beta}= -0.26) epilepsy. In BrACE, the AD signature correlated with NfL ({beta}= -0.30, p=0.050), memory performance ({beta}= 0.30, p=0.006), and predicted greater odds of cognitive impairment specifically among those with early-onset, but not late-onset, epilepsy (interaction p=0.043). Further, among those with early-onset epilepsy, the AD signature significantly improved identification of cognitive impairment over and beyond the effects of plasma AD biomarkers (p=0.041). Findings were similar when examining the effects of epilepsy duration rather than epilepsy onset age. Discussion: AD neuroimaging signatures may help identify clinically meaningful subgroups among older adults with epilepsy, particularly when integrated with AD biomarkers. Findings support a multimodal framework for assessing AD-related risk in epilepsy and highlight interactive effects of epilepsy chronicity and AD-related processes that can influence cognitive outcomes.

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Trajectories of brain structure and function in young adult carriers of genetic frontotemporal dementia variants

So, I.; Lombardi, J.; Staffaroni, A. M.; Coleman, K.; Bouzigues, A.; Ferry-Bolder, E.; Cullen, E.; Russell, L.; Foster, P.; Farley, S.; Convery, R.; van Swieten, J. C.; Jiskoot, L. C.; Seelaar, H.; Galimberti, D.; Vandenberghe, R.; Laforce, R.; Bruffaerts, R.; Bertoux, M.; Lebouvier, T.; Solje, E.; Levin, J.; di Fede, G.; Thompson, A.; Le Ber, I.; Migliaccio, R. L.; Kortvelyessy, P.; Schroeter, M. L.; Logroscino, G.; Otto, M.; Uzelac, Z.; Illan-Gala, I.; Kruger, J.; Nacmias, B.; Gerhard, A.; Langheinrich, T.; Ducharme, S.; Santana, I. J.; Tartaglia, C.; Masellis, M.; de Mendonca, A.; Rowe, J.;

2026-06-10 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355165 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Converging evidence hints at neurodevelopmental effects in genetic frontotemporal degeneration (FTD). In cross-sectional studies, for some genes, young adult FTD variant carriers show differences in brain volumes and cognition compared to familial non-carriers. However, longitudinal trajectories may more sensitively capture FTD-related neurodevelopmental vs. neurodegenerative changes than cross-sectional approaches. This study examined longitudinal trajectories of brain volumes, executive function, and plasma biomarkers in young adult carriers compared to familial non-carriers, as measures of neurodevelopmental and neurodegenerative outcomes of FTD-causing variants. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study comprised participants, aged 18-30 years, from the FTD Prevention Initiative across Europe, Canada, and the USA. Genetic groups included C9orf72 (47%), MAPT (30%), and GRN (23%). Linear mixed-effects models were computed to assess longitudinal outcomes across age between groups, controlling for sex, scanner (for brain volumes), and education (for executive function); random effects accounted for between-subject variability nested within family membership. Results: Variant carriers (n=147) and familial non-carriers (n=113) did not differ in age (mean{+/-}SD, 25.9{+/-}3.2 years), sex (53% female), or number of visits (2.1{+/-}1.7). Young adult C9orf72 repeat expansion carriers exhibited smaller thalamic volumes than non-carriers at the reference age of 26 years (b=-982.8mm3, SE=317.0, p=0.0046, f2=0.32), with relatively stable trajectories across ages 18-30 (i.e., no change over time). Trajectories of rostral anterior cingulate volumes differed in C9orf72 carriers and non-carriers across age, where carriers showed relatively stable trajectories and non-carriers showed age-appropriate declines (b=64.4mm3, SE=29.9, p=0.035, f2=0.07). For MAPT and GRN, there were little to no differences in total brain, cortical, or subcortical volumes between groups and over time. No longitudinal differences were observed between carriers and non-carriers in executive function, or plasma NfL or GFAP for any genetic group. Discussion: C9orf72 repeat expansions were linked to smaller average thalamic volumes and stable trajectories between ages 18 to 30, supporting potential neurodevelopmental origins. The modest evidence supporting an absence of difference in neurodegenerative biomarkers and executive function suggests minimal early neurodegeneration and functional preservation in young adulthood.

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Development of a Novel Blood-Based Assay for Brain-Derived Tau and Its Validation in Traumatic Brain Injury

Balogun, W. G.; Zeng, X.; Nafash, M. N.; Sehrawat, A.; Shi, R.; Svirsky, S. E.; Okonkwo, D. O.; Puccio, A. M.; Karikari, T. K.

2026-06-10 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354965 medRxiv
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Brain-derived tau (BD-tau) is an emerging blood-based biomarker for neurodegeneration, yet there are currently limited well validated BD-tau assays available for research and clinical use. To enhance access to this vital biomarker for neurological disorders including traumatic brain injury (TBI), we developed a novel blood-based immunoassay for BD-tau on the ultra-sensitive Quanterix HD-X platform using Single Molecule Array technology. Analytical validation assessed dilution linearity, specificity, precision, detection limits, and spike recovery, each recording robust metrics in agreement with international expert recommendations. The assay demonstrated robust validation metrics, achieving between-run stability of 95% when analyzing aliquots from six independent plasma and serum samples across five analytical runs. It also showed strong dilution linearity when diluted four-fold and achieved over 90% recovery when spiked with cerebrospinal fluid. Next, we evaluated the clinical utility of the assay in cohorts of individuals with traumatic brain injury (TBI), where strong performances were recorded whether using the 2-step or 3-step assay formats ({rho}= 0.94; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, plasma BD-tau distinguished samples from TBI patients based on time from injury and severity (AUC=0.93). Plasma BD-tau differentiated between favorable and unfavorable functional outcomes in the acute-severe group. Our findings underscore the significant potential of the BD-tau assay as a biomarker for TBI in the severe phase.

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Synapse loss in Progressive Supranuclear Palsy post-mortem reflects clinical and pathological disease severity and 11C-UCB-J PET in vivo

Nolan, G.; Holland, N.; Yang, S. W.; Dall'O, G. M.; Chen, Q.; Allinson, K.; Savulich, G.; Halliday, K.; Naessens, M.; Hong, Y. T.; Fryer, T. D.; Aigbirhio, F. I.; Malpetti, M.; Kaalund, S. S.; O'Brien, J. T.; Lakatos, A.; Rowe, J. B.; Quaegebeur, A.

2026-06-09 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354325 medRxiv
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Synapse loss is an early feature of neurodegeneration and may provide sensitive biomarkers for experimental medicine. Positron emission tomography (PET) with the synaptic vesicle glycoprotein 2A radioligand [11C]UCB-J shows widespread signal reduction across dementias. However, it remains unclear which aspects of synaptic integrity [11C]UCB-J PET measures. We developed a histological-imaging pipeline to quantify structurally intact synapses in post-mortem brain tissue. We applied it to six donors with the tauopathy progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) who had ante-mortem [11C]UCB-J-PET, alongside six controls across 11 brain regions. Synapse loss in PSP was widespread but region-specific across cortical, subcortical, and brainstem regions. Greater synapse loss was associated with higher tau burden and pathology, and cortical synaptic density correlated with ante-mortem cognition. Post-mortem synaptic density correlated with in vivo [11C]UCB-J-PET signal. This study provides validation of SV2A PET as a biomarker of synaptic density and supports integration of imaging with histopathology in neurodegenerative disease research.

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TACR3 variant confers resilience to aging and Alzheimer's disease

Ruffini, N.; Fischer, F. U.; Subirana Slotos, R.; Goschke, J.; Scholz, L.; Knaepen, K.; Huettelmaier, S.; Morrison, H.; Steffan, T.; Pabst, A.-S.; Winter, J.; Baier, B.; Mierau, A.; Binder, H.; Drzezga, A.; Teipel, S.; Fellgiebel, A.; Endres, K.; Tuescher, O.

2026-06-08 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355071 medRxiv
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Background: While genetic factors strongly influence brain aging trajectories, variants conferring cognitive resilience remain poorly characterized. The neurokinin-3 receptor (NK3-R), encoded by Tachykinin Receptor 3 (TACR3), modulates cholinergic signaling in memory circuits vulnerable to aging. Previous studies linked the non-WT expression of the TACR3 variant rs2765 with cognitive decline and reduced volume of the hippocampus and basal forebrain, but systematic replication and mechanistic validation were lacking. Methods: We investigated rs2765 in the preregistered AgeGain cohort of cognitively healthy older adults (n=188) with independent validation in the ADNI cohort (n=809) which includes persons with and without Alzheimers Disease (AD) that show healthy cognition, mild cognitive impairment or dementia. Analyses integrated structural neuroimaging, longitudinal cognitive assessments, epigenetic aging (PhenoAge), genome-wide methylation profiling, and mechanistic validation through luciferase assays and cross-species protein expression studies. Results: The infrequent protective rs2765 WT variant, found in 12.8% of Europeans, conferred 49% slower cognitive decline (p = 0.002) for amyloid-positive individuals of the ADNI cohort and 3.7 years younger epigenetic age (p = 0.013, 95% CI: 0.79-6.67 years) in the cognitively healthy AgeGain cohort. WT carriers showed larger hippocampal and basal forebrain volumes across cohorts, with Allen Brain Atlas integration revealing these outcomes to occur exclusively in regions where TACR3 expression positively correlated with gray matter volume. Mechanistically, the non-WT variant ameliorated RBMX-mediated post-transcriptional regulation, reducing NK3-R protein expression by 25-40% in vitro and ex vivo murine brain slice models. Senescence-accelerated mice exhibited reduced endogenous NK3-R expression, phenocopying the predicted functional consequences of the variant. In AgeGain participants, genome-wide methylation profiling identified 2,313 differentially methylated CpGs affecting 228 pathways spanning glutamatergic signaling, acetylcholine receptor pathways, chromatin remodeling, and angiogenesis, suggesting coordinated molecular reprogramming from synaptic function to systemic aging. Conclusions: rs2765 WT confers resilience to age- and AD-related cognitive decline through RBMX-dependent regulation of NK3-R expression, with effects of remarkable size cascading from memory to systemic aging. rs2765 genotyping could stratify individuals for NK3-R modulator therapy (e.g., fezolinetant or senktides) and identify those maintaining function despite pathological burden, complementing APOE-based risk assessment in precision geromedicine.

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Multimodal neuroimaging approach for cognitive impairment in Alzheimer disease

Gonzales, M.; Kang, X.; Adamson, M. M.; Chao, S. Z.; Yoon, B. C.

2026-06-06 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354924 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: Alzheimer disease (AD) is associated with cognitive impairment, brain atrophy, and elevated amyloid-beta and tau. The study aimed to characterize regional atrophy associated with elevated amyloid-beta and tau, as measured by [18F]florbetapir (FBP) and [18F]flortaucipir (FTP) positron emission tomography (PET), respectively, and determine whether combining PET and atrophy data improves the prediction of cognitive impairment. METHODS: Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative data (n = 381) were retrospectively analyzed. PET results were correlated with cortical thickness, gray matter (GM) volumes, Mini-Mental State Examination, and Montreal Cognitive Assessment. Linear/logistic regression and area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate for significant correlations and compare performances in distinguishing cognitive impairment, respectively. RESULTS: Incremental loss of cortical thickness and GM volume was observed from FBP-/FTP- (n = 205) to single PET-positive (FBP+/FTP-, n = 133; FBP-/FTP+, n = 5) and FBP+/FTP+ (n = 38) groups, particularly in the temporal and parietal lobes. FBP+/FTP+ showed the most severe cortical thickness loss in the entorhinal cortex, temporal lobe GM atrophy, and cognitive impairment. Adding brain atrophy as the third variable resulted in higher odds ratios and improved AUCs for cognitive impairment, with FBP+/FTP+/temporal GM or entorhinal cortical atrophy+ demonstrating the strongest associations with cognitive impairment. CONCLUSION: A multimodal approach combining PET and MRI may help improve the assessment of cognitive impairment in AD.

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Ethnic and Socioeconomic Inequalities in Health and Social Care Utilisation Among People with Dementia: A Population-Based Study

Mathlin, G.; Cooper, C.; Teoh, L.; Mukadam, N.; Banerjee, S.; Birks, Y.; Demnitz-King, H.; Hunter, R.

2026-06-08 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354916 medRxiv
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Background: People affected by dementia experience intersecting care inequalities. We explored relationships between ethnicity and health and social care resource use among people with dementia in an ethnically diverse urban region. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study using Discover-NOW, including patients with dementia between 1.4.2015 and 1.4.2025. We calculated ethnic density as the percentage of the Middle Layer Super Output Area (SOA) population self-identifying with the same ethnic group. Regression models, clustered by Local SOA, tested whether ethnic density moderated relationships between ethnicity and primary care, outpatient, inpatient, emergency and social care service use, controlling for sociodemographic characteristics, deprivation, comorbidities and time of diagnosis. Findings: We included 30,704 people with dementia. People from Black and Mixed ethnic groups used more primary care, and those from Asian ethnic groups less primary and secondary care, than White ethnic groups. Rates of local authority social care packages were similar across ethnic groups. High ethnic density predicted fewer GP consultations in Black ethnic groups, but more in South Asian groups. Interpretation: Among Black ethnic groups, primary care use was relatively high, especially in areas of low ethnic density, perhaps reflecting greater needs among communities at risk of racism and isolation. The trend towards increased primary care use among South Asian people in areas of higher ethnic density may reflect communities mitigating help-seeking hesitancy related to cultural and language barriers. Greater care integration could reduce care inequalities among minority ethnic communities who may experience fewer barriers to social relative to health care.

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White Matter Hyperintensity Burden Modifies the Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and Cerebral Microbleeds

Ryu, W.-S.; Sunwoo, L.; Lee, M.; Kang, K.; Kim, J. G.; Lee, S. J.; Cha, J.-K.; Park, T. H.; Lee, J.-Y.; Lee, K.; Kwon, D. H.; Lee, J.; Park, H.-K.; Cho, Y.-J.; Hong, K.-S.; Lee, M.; Oh, M. S.; Yu, K.-H.; Gwak, D.-S.; Kim, D.-E.; Kim, H.; Kim, J.-T.; Kim, J.-G.; Choi, J. C.; Kim, W.-J.; Kwon, J.-H.; Yum, K. S.; Shin, D.-I.; Hong, J.-H.; Sohn, S.-I.; Lee, S.-H.; Kim, C.; Jeong, H.-B.; Park, K.-Y.; Lee, K.-J.; Kim, C. K.; Kang, J.; Kim, J. Y.; Bae, H.-J.; Kim, B. J.

2026-06-08 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354875 medRxiv
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Background: In atrial fibrillation (AF), cerebral microbleed (CMB) burden guides anticoagulation decisions, yet AF is itself inconsistently associated with CMBs, a paradox unexplained by frameworks that treat CMBs as a unitary marker of small vessel disease. We hypothesized that the white matter hyperintensity (WMH) context in which CMBs arise modifies their vascular meaning, and that this context-dependence underlies the inconsistent AF-CMB association. Methods: From a multicenter Korean stroke registry, we analyzed 5,735 first-ever ischemic stroke patients imaged at nine centers using susceptibility-weighted MRI. WMH volume and CMB count were extracted by validated deep learning pipelines. Patients were cross-classified by age-adjusted WMH residual (median split) and CMB count (2) into four groups. The AF-CMB association was estimated by multivariable logistic regression within each WMH stratum with formal interaction testing. Spatial CMB distribution was analyzed against the Automated Anatomical Labeling atlas. Results: In the full cohort (mean age 69.5 years; 57.7% male), AF was not associated with CMBs (OR 1.04; 95% CI 0.87-1.25). Stratification yielded divergent estimates: the adjusted AF OR was 1.46 (1.11-1.93; P = 0.007) in the WMH-low stratum and 0.95 (0.73-1.22; P = 0.665) in the WMH-high stratum, with significant interaction (OR 0.56; P < 0.001). The discordant phenotype (low WMH, high CMB; 8.9%) was enriched for AF (28.0%) and showed fronto-temporal cortical predominance with deep structure sparing. AF independently reduced the proportion of deep CMBs (IRR 0.80; P = 0.040). The interaction was preserved across prespecified sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: The AF-CMB association is confined to patients with low WMH burden relative to age and is accompanied by a topographically distinct CMB distribution. Clinical assessment of small vessel disease based on WMH alone may overlook a CMB phenotype linked to AF.

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Computer Vision Scoring of Figure Copy and Recall

Woods, D. L.; Hall, K.; Jaramillo, I.; Blank, M.; Geraci, K.; Boghassian, A.; Pebler, P.

2026-06-11 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355298 medRxiv
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Objective. Figure copy and recall tests are sensitive measures of visuoconstruction and visual episodic memory, but their clinical is constrained by labor-intensive manual scoring. We developed and validated an automated, element-level scoring pipeline using Vertex AI object detection for the tablet-based figure copy and recall tasks in the California Cognitive Assessment Battery (CCAB). The automated scoring pipeline duplicated the scoring procedures used by expert manual raters. Methods. A normative sample of 2,011 community-dwelling adults aged 18-90 completed figure copy and delayed recall trials at baseline, with subsamples retested at 1 day and at 6, 18, and 30 months. Participants completed the drawings with their index finger on a tablet computer with finger position digitized to analyze the speed and timing of individual drawing strokes A convolutional object-detection model trained on the Vertex AI AutoML Vision platform identified each of twelve canonical figure elements in rendered drawings. Separate element presence and location scores were computed after homographically warping drawings onto a canonical template to produce trial-level Element, Location, and Total scores. To compare Vertex and human scores, Vertex AI and expert human raters independently scored 1500 randomly selected drawings to evaluate inter-rater agreement, including a common subset of 100 drawings scored by Vertex AI and all raters. Results. Total scores were virtually indistinguishable (r = 0.966) from human-human agreement (mean r = 0.971) as were Element presence scores (mean r = 0.959 vs. r = 0.963). Location-score agreement (r = 0.951) was slightly below the human-human mean (r = 0.972) due to pixel-level analysis by Vertex AI that was impossible for human raters. The Vertex pipeline showed no preferential advantage for the single expert rater who categorized Elements during training. Automated scores showed strong demographic gradients, age effects on Recall (r = -0.32) were approximately twice those in Copy conditions (r = -0.16). A Memory Cost score (Recall - Copy) showed a monotonic age-related decline from +0.40 z in the youngest subjects to -0.54 z in the oldest. Kinetic analysis revealed that drawing speed and efficiency showed significant age-related changes. Overnight test-retest reliability was high (Recall r = 0.72) and the Recall trial showed a large overnight learning effect ({Delta} = +1.18) that continued with repeated tests up to 30 months ({Delta} = +0.75).

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Elevated HbA1c is associated with advanced brain age in severe obesity

Juhasz, J.; DeFeis, B.; Britton, M. K.; Hoogerwoerd, H.; Worwag, K.; Johnson, K. J.; Uribe, A.; Williamson, J. B.; Porges, E. C.; Cohen, R. A.

2026-06-06 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354935 medRxiv
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Introduction: Brain-predicted age, estimated from structural MRI data, is a machine-learning biomarker of biological brain aging. Greater brain age gap (BAG) indicates advanced brain aging and is associated with cognitive decline and mortality. Cardiometabolic risk factors, including elevated blood glucose, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, and cholesterol, increase risk of cognitive impairment and dementia in aging. Their relationship with BAG in severe obesity remains poorly characterized despite increased prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors among this population. Methods: T1-weighted MRI data from 97 adults (BMI 35-73) were used to calculate BAG using ENIGMA and Pyment brain age models. Associations between BAG and HbA1c, BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were examined using multiple linear regression and MM-estimation robust regression, adjusting for age, sex, and race. Post hoc analyses stratified models by clinical HbA1c cutoffs (normoglycemic, prediabetic, diabetic). Results: Higher HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 1.58, p = .014) and BAGPyment (B = 0.93, p = .013) in linear regression models. In robust models, HbA1c remained significantly associated with BAGENIGMA (B = 1.70, p = .002) but not BAGPyment (B = 0.71, p = .13). BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were not associated with BAG in either linear or robust models. HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 2.15, p = .01) and BAGPyment (B =1.21, p = .04) in those at or above prediabetic levels and with BAGENIGMA (B = 2.49, p = .047) in those with diabetes. Conclusions: Elevated HbA1c is associated with accelerated brain aging in individuals with severe obesity. BAG was not associated with BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia, which may reflect the restricted BMI range inherent to the sample with severe obesity.

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Dementia and Frailty Impact Postoperative Care Trajectories and Burden among Older Adults Undergoing Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer

Ernandez, J.; Xiang, L.; Adler, R.; Hsu, J.; Shah, S. K.; Kim, D.; Gershman, B.; Mossanen, M.; Weissman, J. S.

2026-06-06 urology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354768 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BC) is predominantly a disease of older, comorbid adults, and radical cystectomy (RC), which is the gold standard treatment, carries considerable morbidity. We sought to determine the impact of baseline dementia and frailty on the care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period. We hypothesized that frail patients and those with dementia undergoing RC for BC will have poorer care trajectories. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries [&ge;] 66 years old who underwent RC for BC in 2017 with 12 months of pre- and post-RC enrollment. Frailty and dementia were characterized using validated, claims-based measures. Associations between baseline frailty and dementia with postoperative care trajectory outcomes were determined using Fine-Gray competing risk models. RESULTS: We identified 3,600 beneficiaries of whom 11.6% were frail and 3.4% met criteria for dementia. Patients with dementia were more likely to be frail, comorbid, and not receive standard-of-care neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Frailty was independently associated with [&ge;] 2 transitions in care level after index discharge from RC and skilled nursing facility (SNF) admissions within 1 year of RC, exposure to intensive post-RC interventions, including dialysis and feeding tube placement, and poorer survival. Dementia remained associated with SNF admissions regardless of frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Among a contemporary cohort of older adults undergoing RC for BC, preoperative dementia and frailty were independently associated with poorer care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period after RC. Our work highlights a role for preoperative geriatric assessment in identifying and optimizing patients at greatest risk.

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Multimodal MRI Characterization of Nucleus Basalis of Meynert Degeneration: Structural Atrophy and Free-water Diffusion in Parkinson's Disease Cognitive Impairment

Negida, A.; Zaman, A.; Wyman-Chick, K. A.; Hallak, R.; Miller-Patterson, C.; Berman, B. D.; Ofori, E.; Barrett, M. J.

2026-06-09 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355183 medRxiv
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Background: Cognitive impairment in Parkinson's disease (PD) is linked to degeneration of the cholinergic basal forebrain, particularly cholinergic nucleus 4 (Ch4) in the nucleus basalis of Meynert. Structural and diffusion MRI separately detect this degeneration, but few studies have combined these modalities across the PD cognitive spectrum. Methods: We analyzed 92 participants: 14 healthy controls (HC), 35 PD with normal cognition (PD-NC), 33 with mild cognitive impairment (PD-MCI), and 10 with dementia (PDD). For Ch4 and cholinergic nuclei 1, 2, and 3 (Ch1-3) in the medial septal/diagonal band complex, we determined TIV-normalized gray matter density (GMD) and free-water (FW) fraction. We evaluated group differences, cognitive correlations, adjusted multivariable regression, and exploratory ROC discrimination. Results: Ch4 GMD was significantly lower in PDD compared to PD-MCI (p=0.007), PD-NC (p<0.001), and HC (p<0.001). Ch4 GMD was also lower in PD-MCI versus HC (p=0.028); the PD-MCI versus PD-NC difference was not significant after correction (p=0.074). Ch1-3 GMD was lower in PDD versus PD-NC (p=0.008) and HC (p=0.009). Ch4 and Ch1-3 FW were elevated in PDD versus all other groups (all p<0.01). Among PD patients (n=78), MoCA was positively correlated with Ch4 GMD ({rho}=0.49) and Ch1-3 GMD ({rho}=0.42) and negatively correlated with Ch4 FW ({rho}=-0.51) and Ch1-3 FW ({rho}=-0.40; all p<0.001). In the full four-metric model, Ch4 GMD and Ch4 FW were the only independent basal forebrain predictors (Ch4 GMD {beta}=+2.04, p<0.001; Ch4 FW {beta}=-1.46, p=0.005) of MoCA score. The combined Ch4 GMD + Ch4 FW model showed high discrimination for PDD versus non-demented PD (AUC=0.934; optimism-corrected AUC=0.925). Conclusions: Structural and free-water diffusion MRI provide complementary information about Ch4 degeneration in PD. The combined Ch4 model showed promising exploratory discrimination of PDD; validation in larger independent samples is needed.

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Vascular Phenotyping in Parkinson's Disease: Diabetes Mellitus Operationalizes a Microvascular Metabolic Syndrome Cluster Across PPMI Diagnostic Cohorts

Belnavis, A.; Chiu, S.; Chen, K.; Thorpe, R.; Ofori, E.

2026-06-11 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355285 medRxiv
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Background: Diabetes mellitus elevates Parkinson's disease (PD) risk, via hypothesized cerebrovascular mediation. Whether the diabetes/prediabetes vascular-risk phenotype concentrates in cardiometabolic risk or macrovascular events across prodromal and clinically diagnosed PD remains unresolved. Objectives: To quantify the vascular-risk burden associated with diabetes/prediabetes across the PPMI diagnostic cohorts to test whether this association differs by cohort. Methods: Cross-sectional analysis of 413 PPMI participants (76 healthy controls, 145 prodromal PD, 192 clinically diagnosed PD) examined diabetes/prediabetes (n = 73) and seven vascular risk factors. The Vascular Burden Score (0 to 7) was a priori partitioned into microvascular and macrovascular sub-scores. Modified Poisson regression estimated adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR), adjusted for age, sex, and body mass index. A cohort-by-diabetes interaction tested cross-cohort consistency. Sensitivity analyses incorporated nigral diffusion tensor imaging (PD-risk biomarker) and FreeSurfer white matter hypointensity volume (cerebrovascular marker). Results: Diabetes/prediabetes elevated Vascular Burden Score ({beta} = 0.53, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.77, p < 0.001) versus non-diabetic participants, with a non-significant cohort-by-diabetes interaction (F = 0.29, p = 0.747). Three microvascular factors survived false discovery rate correction: obesity (aPR 2.28), hypertension (aPR 1.60), and hyperlipidemia (aPR 1.45). Macrovascular events showed no diabetic amplification ({beta} = -0.06, p = 0.25). In the imaging-phenotyped subset, Vascular Burden Score components contributed classifier variance distinct from nigral microstructure. Conclusions: Diabetes/prediabetes operationalize a microvascular cluster stable across prodromal and idiopathic PD. Cardiometabolic phenotyping may complement established PD-risk biomarkers (dopamine transporter SPECT, nigral diffusion), pending longitudinal validation linking vascular phenotype to dopaminergic markers.

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Beyond event-rate enrichment: proteomic risk scores for mechanism-aware prevention trial design

Fieggen, J.; Simond, G.; Segal, B. M.; Noori, A.; Thakurta, A.; Butler, C. C.; Clifton, D. A.; Clifton, L.

2026-06-10 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355266 medRxiv
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Background. Blood-based biomarkers are increasingly proposed for identifying high-risk individuals before clinical disease and for making prevention-oriented trials more efficient. Prognostic enrichment can increase event rates, but trial efficiency also depends on whether the intervention effect is preserved in the enriched population. Methods. Using the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, we trained disease-specific proteomic risk scores (ProRS) from 2,916 plasma proteins with elastic-net Cox models. We compared ProRS, polygenic risk scores (PRS), and combined PRS--ProRS scores across ten incident diseases. We estimated cumulative incidence and theoretical two-arm time-to-event trial sample sizes across risk strata. To evaluate effect preservation, we examined six intervention-analogue exposure--outcome pairs spanning genetic (PCSK9/coronary artery disease, APOE/Alzheimer's disease, PPARG/type 2 diabetes, IL23R/Crohn's disease), behavioural (physical activity/all-cause mortality), and pharmacological (RAAS inhibitors versus calcium channel blockers/coronary artery disease) examples. Results. ProRS outperformed PRS for 9 of 10 diseases (median C-index 0.75 versus 0.61). ProRS and PRS were weakly correlated (median Pearson |r| = 0.04), and joint PRS--ProRS stratification identified groups with higher observed incidence than either score alone for several endpoints. In the top risk quartile, combined-score enrichment reduced theoretical required sample sizes by 32--74\% under a fixed 20\% relative hazard reduction. These gains were not always preserved when stratum-specific intervention-analogue effects were used. Effects were broadly preserved for APOE/Alzheimer's disease and physical activity/mortality. The PPARG/type 2 diabetes effect attenuated toward the null under all three score types, showing that event-rate enrichment does not guarantee effect preservation. For IL23R/Crohn's disease and the antihypertensive comparison, point estimates differed across score types -- preserved under polygenic but attenuated under proteomic enrichment -- but confidence intervals were wide and overlapping. Conclusions. Proteomic risk scores can identify high-event-rate populations for prevention-oriented trials, but event-rate enrichment alone is insufficient for trial design. Biomarker-guided enrichment should evaluate mechanism-specific effect preservation and may be preferable as a stratification or adaptive-design variable rather than as a restrictive eligibility criterion.

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Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Among US Adults, 1999-2023: National Trends and Projections Through 2050

Fu, F.; Wei, A.; Wang, G.; Fang, S.; Chen, J.; Liu, W.; Liu, H.; Gao, X.; Lei, Y.; Guo, N.; Chen, M.; Yu, J.; Wang, Y.; Li, S.; Mao, Y.; Yan, L.

2026-06-10 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355220 medRxiv
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Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.

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More Than Results: A Qualitative Study on the Role of Person-Centered Genetic Counseling in Parkinson Disease Research

Verbrugge, J.; Fiallos, K.; Cook, L.; Miller, M.; Head, K. J.

2026-06-09 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354465 medRxiv
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As genetic testing becomes increasingly integrated into Parkinson disease (PD) research, including targeted testing for variants in LRRK2 and GBA1, the return of individual research results is becoming more common. However, limited qualitative data exists regarding how research participants experience genetic results disclosure and post-test genetic counseling in PD research settings. We conducted semi-structured qualitative interviews with participants (n=13) enrolled in the Parkinson Precision Medicine Initiative (formerly Parkinson Progression Markers Initiative; PPMI) who had received PD-related genetic test results and post-test genetic counseling. Interviews were conducted 1 to 3 weeks following result disclosure and analyzed using thematic analysis with a primarily deductive coding approach informed by study aims and inductive identification of emergent themes. Four primary themes were identified: (1) personal connection and motivations for participation, (2) centrality of result disclosure and information preferences, (3) emotional experiences and support needs, and (4) communication quality and alignment with participant needs. Overall, our findings underscore the importance of person-centered genetic counseling within PD research. As return of genetic and biomarker results in research and clinical trial contexts expand, thoughtful integration of relational, informational, and communication-focused practices will be essential to support participant engagement and trust.

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Heterogeneity of Treatment Effect of Aspirin and Clinically Significant Bleeding in Older Adults

Tzimas, G.; Tchoua, R. B.; Vanghelof, J. C.; Wolfe, R. C.; Cloud, G.; Mahady, S.; Du, L.; Ernst, M. E.; Wood, E. M.; Raicu, D. S.; Ket, S.; Shah, R. C.

2026-06-12 hematology 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355385 medRxiv
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Aim: The global population of older adults is growing, and older age is linked to higher bleeding risk. Although guidelines discourage aspirin for primary prevention in healthy older adults due to bleeding harms outweighing benefits, many continue taking it without a clear indication. It remains unclear whether all older adults face uniform aspirin-related bleeding risk or if certain subgroups are more vulnerable. Methods: We analyzed data from 19,114 ASPREE trial participants to develop machine learning models using 116 baseline variables. Random forest (RF) and random survival forest (RSF) models predicted 5-year bleeding risk, and participants were stratified into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups based on the 20th and 80th percentiles of predicted risk. We assessed heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) by testing treatment-by-risk group interactions on the relative scale using Fine-Gray models, and on the absolute scale using observed 5-year cumulative incidence rates. Results: Over a median follow-up of 4.7 years, 626 major bleeding events occurred. The RF model had moderate discrimination (AUC = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.63-0.67) and good calibration (Brier = 0.032, 95% CI: 0.029-0.034). Statistically significant HTE was observed on the relative scale, with the greatest relative increase in bleeding risk seen in the low-risk group (subdistribution hazard ratio = 2.26, 95% CI: 1.27-4.01). On the absolute scale, low-risk participants experienced higher bleeding with aspirin (absolute risk difference (ARD) = 1.17%, 95% CI: 0.37-1.95), but heterogeneity in ARDs was not statistically significant (Cochran's Q p > 0.45). Similar findings were observed when using the RSF model. Conclusion: Participants at lowest baseline bleeding risk experienced the greatest relative increase in bleeding risk with aspirin therapy. We found statistically significant heterogeneity in treatment effects on the relative but not absolute scale. These findings support an individualized, risk-based approach to aspirin therapy decision-making in older adults.

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Surviving Severe Acute Brain injury: Care trajectories and missed opportunities

Bunker, A. L.; Engelberg, R. A.; Holloway, R. G.; Creutzfeldt, C. J.

2026-06-09 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354480 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION Severe acute brain injury (stroke, traumatic brain injury or hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy; SABI) is increasingly recognized as a chronic condition with care and communication needs beyond the initial hospitalization. This study aimed to characterize post-acute care patterns among SABI survivors, focusing on healthcare utilization and outpatient communication. METHODS Data were collected from a prospective cohort of hospitalized SABI patients using surveys, chart reviews, and the ED Information Exchange database. Socioeconomic disadvantage was assessed using the Area Deprivation Index (ADI), and qualitative analysis of outpatient notes examined conversations around palliative care needs and goals-of-care. RESULTS Two-thirds of patients (140/222) survived until discharge, primarily to nursing facilities (39%) or inpatient rehabilitation (38%). Among 109 with one-year follow-up, there were 89 hospitalizations, 104 ED visits, and 28 deaths. Patients from the most disadvantaged neighborhoods had significantly higher odds of rehospitalization or ED use within 30 days (OR 3.37, p=0.036). ADI was not linked to one-year utilization. seen outpatient by primary care (40%), neurology/neurosurgery (57%), and palliative care (1%), but conversations rarely revisited prognosis or goals-of-care. CONCLUSIONS Our findings highlight the need for improved long-term care planning and communication, particularly for socioeconomically disadvantaged survivors of SABI.

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Age-Related Speech-in-Noise Hearing Loss in Parkinson's Disease and APOE E4 Carriers

Kmiecik, M. J.; Xu, W.; Weldon, C. H.; Guan, A.; McIntyre, M. H.; Bouchard, E. L.; 23andMe Research Team, ; Schneider, R. B.; Auton, A.; Aslibekyan, S.

2026-06-09 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355175 medRxiv
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Age-related hearing loss is a leading modifiable risk factor for dementia and is increasingly recognized as a non-motor feature of Parkinson's disease (PD). The apolipoprotein E (APOE) E4 allele is the strongest genetic risk factor for Alzheimer's disease and is associated with cognitive decline in PD, yet its relationship to hearing loss remains unclear. Therefore, we examined the independent and interactive effects of PD status and APOE E4 carrier status on age-related hearing loss using a validated web-based speech-in-noise (SIN) assessment in 239,620 23andMe Research Institute participants without PD and 4,361 PD cases. Generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS) showed that both PD and APOE E4 independently exacerbated age-related hearing decline, with speech reception thresholds (SRTs) worsening non-linearly with advancing age, but without evidence of synergistic interaction. However, longitudinal analyses in a subcohort completing at least two assessments (1,434 PD cases; 36,242 controls) using GAMLSS mixed models showed a significant three-way interaction between PD status, APOE E4, and age2, such that SIN hearing loss accelerated more steeply with age in APOE E4 carriers with PD. Males and individuals with lower educational attainment also exhibited worse SIN hearing loss. These results identify APOE E4 carriers with PD as a priority population for hearing screening and intervention, and support the integration of SIN assessments into routine PD care to detect hearing decline that may compound cognitive and communicative burden in aging.

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Three-Month Observational Data for the MPS IIIB Sentinel Subject Following AAV9 Mediated Gene Therapy

Ma, X.; Gu, R.; Ma, W.; Xu, Q.; Wang, R.; Wang, W.; Liang, M.; Liu, X.; Yang, X.; Zhuang, L.; Zhang, W.; Zeng, X.; Xu, J.; Xu, X.; Wu, Z.; Xia, Y.; Liu, Y.; Zhou, J.; Zhu, X.; Wang, H.; Dong, Z.; Yang, W.; Dai, Y.; Pan, X.; Li, X.; Wang, Y.; Dong, X.; Wu, X.; Feng, Z.

2026-06-09 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354386 medRxiv
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Background: Mucopolysaccharidosis type IIIB (MPS IIIB) is a devastating neurodegenerative lysosomal storage disorder caused by alpha-N-acetylglucosaminidase (NAGLU) deficiency. There is currently no approved therapy. We report the 3-month outcomes of a novel intracerebroventricular (ICV) gene therapy in a child with MPS IIIB. Methods: In an open-label, single-center, investigator-initiated trial (ChiCTR2600121466), a single dose of RDGT-101 (2.0E14; vg of an AAV9 vector encoding human NAGLU) was administered via ICV infusion. Primary outcomes were safety and tolerability. Secondary outcomes included serum NAGLU activity, urinary heparan sulfate (HS) excretion, and neurocognitive function. Exploratory analyses included hematological parameters. Results: The patient achieved serum NAGLU activity (17.06 nmol/mL/hour) approaching that of healthy controls (17.75 {+/-} 1.37 nmol/mL/hour) by Month 3, accompanied by a 58.4% reduction in urinary HS. Clinically, previously severe hand and toe contractures resolved, allowing for full extension. Neurocognitive improvements were observed, including clear articulation, logical conversation, and sustained eye contact. Hematological analyses revealed normalized red blood cell indices and improved iron utilization. No dose-limiting toxicities, serious adverse events, or clinically significant laboratory abnormalities were observed. Conclusions: A single ICV infusion of RDGT-101 was safe and well-tolerated in this patient with MPS IIIB. Early biochemical correction was accompanied by marked improvements in somatic, neurocognitive, and hematological parameters. These findings support further investigation of ICV AAV9 gene therapy for MPS IIIB.